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Study breakdown

Simple Blood Test Predicts Hidden Heart Failure Risk in Diabetes Patients

CohortModerate High evidence
The takeaway

Screening natriuretic peptide levels in 116,466 diabetes patients without known heart failure predicted future heart failure and death.

116,466 patients

Large cohort showing natriuretic peptide screening predicts heart failure in diabetes without known HF

What the researchers found

Elevated natriuretic peptide levels in diabetes patients without known heart failure predicted incident heart failure and death.

Why it matters

Early detection of heart failure in diabetes could trigger disease-modifying therapies (like SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 drugs) before symptoms appear.

The numbers in context

N=116,466 (2,990 T1D; 113,476 T2D); ~40% had elevated NP; NT-proBNP 125-300: HR 2.04 (T1D), 2.25 (T2D); NT-proBNP >300: HR 4.48 (T1D), 3.58 (T2D); up to 7-year follow-up.

How the study worked

Retrospective cohort using Optum Market Clarity data with multivariable Cox proportional hazard models in 116,466 adults.

Who was studied

Adults with type 1 or type 2 diabetes without known heart failure (54% female, median age 64)

What this study cannot tell us

Retrospective claims-based study — testing was clinically indicated rather than universal screening. Selection bias possible.

How to read the evidence

Large retrospective cohort with Cox regression — strong association data but screening benefit needs prospective trial confirmation.

When this study was published

Published in 2025 in Diabetes Care, supporting evolving screening recommendations.

The bigger picture

This supports routine natriuretic peptide screening in diabetes as a strategy to catch heart failure early, when interventions are most effective.

Questions still open

  • Should all diabetes patients be routinely screened with natriuretic peptides?
  • At what peptide threshold should disease-modifying therapy be initiated?

Common questions

What are natriuretic peptides?
Blood markers (NT-proBNP and BNP) released by the heart under stress — elevated levels can indicate early heart failure even before symptoms appear.
Should diabetes patients get heart failure screening?
This study suggests natriuretic peptide testing can identify at-risk diabetes patients early, potentially allowing earlier treatment.

Read the original research

Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure and Death in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Without Known Heart Failure.

Diabetes care, 48(12), 2145-2153

Citation

Pop-Busui, Rodica; Repetto, Enrico; Baron, Jason; Schumacher, Dagmar; Vaduganathan, Muthiah; Pandey, Ambarish. (2025). Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure and Death in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Without Known Heart Failure.. Diabetes care, 48(12), 2145-2153. https://doi.org/10.2337/dc25-1260