Simple Blood Test Predicts Hidden Heart Failure Risk in Diabetes Patients

Screening natriuretic peptide levels in 116,466 diabetes patients without known heart failure predicted future heart failure and death.

Pop-Busui, Rodica et al.·Diabetes care·2025·moderate-highcohort
RPEP-13083Cohortmoderate-high2025RETHINKTHC RESEARCH DATABASErethinkthc.com/research

Quick Facts

Study Type
cohort
Evidence
moderate-high
Sample
N=N=116,466
Participants
Adults with type 1 or type 2 diabetes without known heart failure (54% female, median age 64)

What This Study Found

Elevated natriuretic peptide levels in diabetes patients without known heart failure predicted incident heart failure and death.

Key Numbers

N=116,466 (2,990 T1D; 113,476 T2D); ~40% had elevated NP; NT-proBNP 125-300: HR 2.04 (T1D), 2.25 (T2D); NT-proBNP >300: HR 4.48 (T1D), 3.58 (T2D); up to 7-year follow-up.

How They Did This

Retrospective cohort using Optum Market Clarity data with multivariable Cox proportional hazard models in 116,466 adults.

Why This Research Matters

Early detection of heart failure in diabetes could trigger disease-modifying therapies (like SGLT2 inhibitors or GLP-1 drugs) before symptoms appear.

The Bigger Picture

This supports routine natriuretic peptide screening in diabetes as a strategy to catch heart failure early, when interventions are most effective.

What This Study Doesn't Tell Us

Retrospective claims-based study — testing was clinically indicated rather than universal screening. Selection bias possible.

Questions This Raises

  • ?Should all diabetes patients be routinely screened with natriuretic peptides?
  • ?At what peptide threshold should disease-modifying therapy be initiated?

Trust & Context

Key Stat:
116,466 patients Large cohort showing natriuretic peptide screening predicts heart failure in diabetes without known HF
Evidence Grade:
Large retrospective cohort with Cox regression — strong association data but screening benefit needs prospective trial confirmation.
Study Age:
Published in 2025 in Diabetes Care, supporting evolving screening recommendations.
Original Title:
Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure and Death in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Without Known Heart Failure.
Published In:
Diabetes care, 48(12), 2145-2153 (2025)
Database ID:
RPEP-13083

Evidence Hierarchy

Meta-Analysis / Systematic Review
Randomized Controlled Trial
Cohort / Case-Control
Cross-Sectional / ObservationalSnapshot without intervening
This study
Case Report / Animal Study
What do these levels mean? →

Frequently Asked Questions

What are natriuretic peptides?

Blood markers (NT-proBNP and BNP) released by the heart under stress — elevated levels can indicate early heart failure even before symptoms appear.

Should diabetes patients get heart failure screening?

This study suggests natriuretic peptide testing can identify at-risk diabetes patients early, potentially allowing earlier treatment.

Read More on RethinkPeptides

Cite This Study

RPEP-13083·https://rethinkpeptides.com/research/RPEP-13083

APA

Pop-Busui, Rodica; Repetto, Enrico; Baron, Jason; Schumacher, Dagmar; Vaduganathan, Muthiah; Pandey, Ambarish. (2025). Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure and Death in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Without Known Heart Failure.. Diabetes care, 48(12), 2145-2153. https://doi.org/10.2337/dc25-1260

MLA

Pop-Busui, Rodica, et al. "Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure and Death in Individuals With Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Without Known Heart Failure.." Diabetes care, 2025. https://doi.org/10.2337/dc25-1260

RethinkPeptides

RethinkPeptides Research Database. "Screening Natriuretic Peptide Levels Predicts Heart Failure ..." RPEP-13083. Retrieved from https://rethinkpeptides.com/research/pop-busui-2025-screening-natriuretic-peptide-levels

Access the Original Study

Study data sourced from PubMed, a service of the U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.

This study breakdown was produced by the RethinkPeptides research team. We analyze and report published research findings without making health recommendations. All interpretations are based solely on the published abstract and study data.