Can Semaglutide Worsen Diabetic Eye Disease? What the Data Shows

Semaglutide was linked to a 75% increased risk of diabetic retinopathy worsening in the SUSTAIN-6 trial, though the absolute risk was small.

Rajagopal, Rithwick et al.·Retina (Philadelphia·2024·Moderate EvidenceReview
RPEP-09113ReviewModerate Evidence2024RETHINKTHC RESEARCH DATABASErethinkthc.com/research

Quick Facts

Study Type
Review
Evidence
Moderate Evidence
Sample
Review of diabetic retinopathy outcomes across clinical trials of novel diabetes drugs
Participants
Review of diabetic retinopathy outcomes across clinical trials of novel diabetes drugs

What This Study Found

In the SUSTAIN-6 cardiovascular outcome trial, semaglutide was associated with approximately 75% increased risk of diabetic retinopathy (DR) worsening. This was a secondary endpoint, not the trial's primary focus. Cases were rare in absolute terms.

Insulin icodec (a novel once-weekly insulin) also showed increased DR worsening compared to daily insulin. No other recent antihyperglycemic agent (SGLT2 inhibitors, DPP-4 inhibitors, other GLP-1 drugs) was associated with DR worsening.

Importantly, after the SUSTAIN-6 finding, nearly all subsequent trials excluded patients with pre-existing diabetic retinopathy. This means the true risk in the most vulnerable population remains unclear. Dedicated semaglutide eye safety studies were underway at the time of publication.

The most at-risk patients are those with pre-existing high-risk DR, poor baseline blood sugar (where rapid improvement could trigger worsening), and those using insulin.

Key Numbers

  • SUSTAIN-6: ~75% increased risk of DR worsening with semaglutide
  • Cases were rare in absolute terms
  • Insulin icodec: increased DR worsening vs daily insulin
  • Most vulnerable: pre-existing high-risk DR, poor baseline glucose, insulin users
  • Nearly all subsequent trials excluded patients with pre-existing DR

How They Did This

Literature review of clinical trial data for novel antihyperglycemic agents, with focus on diabetic retinopathy as a secondary endpoint or safety outcome. Covers incretin mimetics, SGLT2 inhibitors, long-acting insulins, and insulin delivery systems.

Why This Research Matters

Millions of people take semaglutide for diabetes and weight loss. Understanding eye safety is critical because diabetic retinopathy is the leading cause of blindness in working-age adults. The finding that rapid blood sugar improvement may worsen eye disease is not new (it was known with insulin), but semaglutide's powerful glucose-lowering effect makes this concern more relevant.

The Bigger Picture

Millions take semaglutide for diabetes and weight loss. Diabetic retinopathy is the leading cause of blindness in working-age adults. Understanding eye safety is critical even when the absolute risk is low.

What This Study Doesn't Tell Us

DR worsening was a secondary endpoint in SUSTAIN-6, not a primary outcome. The 75% relative risk increase translates to a small absolute risk because DR events were rare. After SUSTAIN-6, trial design changed to exclude DR patients, making it impossible to assess risk in the most vulnerable group. The review does not provide pooled analysis. Long-term eye outcomes on semaglutide are unknown.

Questions This Raises

  • ?Is the retinopathy worsening caused by rapid blood sugar drops or a direct drug effect?
  • ?Should patients with advanced retinopathy avoid rapid-acting blood sugar drugs?

Trust & Context

Key Stat:
~75% increased relative risk SUSTAIN-6 showed higher retinopathy worsening with semaglutide, but this was a secondary endpoint with small absolute numbers
Evidence Grade:
Rated moderate: based on a large randomized trial (SUSTAIN-6), but retinopathy was a secondary endpoint and the mechanism is debated.
Study Age:
Published in 2024, reviewing data from SUSTAIN-6 and other trials. The retinopathy question has been discussed since semaglutide's approval.
Original Title:
NOVEL AGENTS IN THE MANAGEMENT OF DIABETES AND RISK OF WORSENING DIABETIC RETINOPATHY.
Published In:
Retina (Philadelphia, Pa.), 44(11), 1851-1859 (2024)
Database ID:
RPEP-09113

Evidence Hierarchy

Meta-Analysis / Systematic Review
Randomized Controlled Trial
Cohort / Case-Control
Cross-Sectional / ObservationalSnapshot without intervening
This study
Case Report / Animal Study

Summarizes existing research on a topic.

What do these levels mean? →

Frequently Asked Questions

Can semaglutide damage your eyes?

A 75% relative increase in retinopathy worsening was seen in one trial, but the absolute risk was low. Patients with existing eye disease should get regular eye exams.

Why might blood sugar drugs worsen eye disease?

Rapid blood sugar improvement can temporarily worsen retinopathy — a phenomenon known from insulin therapy. The eyes may need time to adapt to better blood sugar levels.

Read More on RethinkPeptides

Cite This Study

RPEP-09113·https://rethinkpeptides.com/research/RPEP-09113

APA

Rajagopal, Rithwick; McGill, Janet B. (2024). NOVEL AGENTS IN THE MANAGEMENT OF DIABETES AND RISK OF WORSENING DIABETIC RETINOPATHY.. Retina (Philadelphia, Pa.), 44(11), 1851-1859. https://doi.org/10.1097/IAE.0000000000004252

MLA

Rajagopal, Rithwick, et al. "NOVEL AGENTS IN THE MANAGEMENT OF DIABETES AND RISK OF WORSENING DIABETIC RETINOPATHY.." Retina (Philadelphia, 2024. https://doi.org/10.1097/IAE.0000000000004252

RethinkPeptides

RethinkPeptides Research Database. "NOVEL AGENTS IN THE MANAGEMENT OF DIABETES AND RISK OF WORSE..." RPEP-09113. Retrieved from https://rethinkpeptides.com/research/rajagopal-2024-novel-agents-in-the

Access the Original Study

Study data sourced from PubMed, a service of the U.S. National Library of Medicine, National Institutes of Health.

This study breakdown was produced by the RethinkPeptides research team. We analyze and report published research findings without making health recommendations. All interpretations are based solely on the published abstract and study data.