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Study breakdown

Oral CGRP Antagonists for Migraine Prevention Are Not Cost-Effective at Current US Prices

ReviewModerate evidence
The takeaway

Both atogepant and rimegepant for episodic migraine prevention far exceeded accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds, with ICERs over $450,000/QALY and $890,000/QALY respectively.

>$450,000/QALY

atogepant's cost-effectiveness ratio — 3x above the accepted threshold

What the researchers found

Atogepant ICER: >$450,000/QALY; rimegepant ICER: >$890,000/QALY — both far exceeding the $150,000/QALY cost-effectiveness threshold. Drug acquisition cost was the dominant factor.

Why it matters

Despite proven efficacy, oral CGRP antagonists may face reimbursement and access challenges if their cost-effectiveness remains poor. This analysis highlights the need for price reductions or better patient selection to justify their use.

The numbers in context

Atogepant 60 mg and rimegepant 75 mg compared to placebo. 1-year time horizon. US societal perspective.

How the study worked

Decision tree model with 1-year time horizon from US societal perspective, simulating patient cohorts using trial-reported baseline and change-from-baseline monthly migraine days. Each drug compared to its own trial's placebo group.

Who was studied

US patients with episodic migraine

What this study cannot tell us

Each drug compared to its own trial's placebo (no direct comparison between drugs); 1-year horizon may not capture long-term benefits; indirect costs difficult to quantify precisely; societal perspective may differ from payer perspective; no comparison to injectable CGRP antibodies.

How to read the evidence

Moderate evidence from a well-constructed economic model using clinical trial data. Results are sensitive to drug pricing assumptions, which may change.

When this study was published

Published in 2024, reflecting current US drug pricing for oral CGRP antagonists approved in 2021.

The bigger picture

As CGRP-targeted therapies expand migraine treatment options, demonstrating value for money becomes critical for broad access. This study signals that current pricing models for oral CGRP antagonists may need revision for sustainable population-level adoption.

Questions still open

  • What drug price reduction would bring oral CGRP antagonists below the $150,000/QALY threshold?
  • How does the cost-effectiveness of oral CGRP antagonists compare to injectable CGRP antibodies?
  • Would targeting oral CGRP antagonists to higher-frequency migraine patients improve their cost-effectiveness?

Common questions

Are the new oral migraine prevention pills worth the cost?
According to this US analysis, no — both atogepant and rimegepant exceed accepted cost-effectiveness thresholds by 3-6 times. The main issue is their high monthly acquisition cost, which far outweighs savings from reduced acute medication use and fewer work absences.
Could these drugs become cost-effective?
Yes, if their prices drop. The analysis found drug acquisition cost was the single biggest factor. Generic versions or manufacturer price reductions could bring them within acceptable cost-effectiveness ranges.

Read the original research

Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation of Oral CGRP Antagonists, Atogepant and Rimegepant, for the Preventative Treatment of Episodic Migraine: Results from a US Societal Perspective Model.

Clinical drug investigation, 44(3), 209-217

Citation

Thaliffdeen, Ryan; Yu, Anthony; Rascati, Karen. (2024). Cost-Effectiveness Evaluation of Oral CGRP Antagonists, Atogepant and Rimegepant, for the Preventative Treatment of Episodic Migraine: Results from a US Societal Perspective Model.. Clinical drug investigation, 44(3), 209-217. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40261-024-01345-3