In 25,753 Danish T2DM patients matching LEADER criteria, sustained GLP-1RA use reduced 3P-MACE by 2.5%, cardiovascular mortality by 2.3%, and all-cause mortality by 2.5% versus DPP-4i over 3.5 years.
2.5% absolute MACE reductionDanish real-world data confirms the LEADER trial finding that sustained GLP-1RA use reduces major cardiovascular events in T2DM patients at CV risk
What the researchers found
3P-MACE: -2.5% (95% CI 0.8-4.1%). CV mortality: -2.3% (1.4-3.1%). All-cause mortality: -2.5% (0.7-4.3%). HF: -0.9% (0.01-1.8%). Angina: -0.7% (0.01-1.3%). MI, stroke, revasc: NS. 6,681 GLP-1RA + 19,072 DPP-4i.
Why it matters
This confirms LEADER trial findings in real-world settings using rigorous causal inference methods, strengthening the evidence for GLP-1 drugs as cardiovascular protectors in everyday clinical practice.
How the study worked
Target trial emulation using Danish nationwide registries (2012-2022). LEADER-matching criteria. Longitudinal TMLE adjusting for baseline and time-varying confounding. DPP-4i as active comparator.
What this study cannot tell us
Observational despite causal inference methods. Danish population may not represent all demographics. DPP-4i comparator may have own CV effects. MI and stroke individually NS.
How to read the evidence
Target trial emulation with TMLE—among the strongest observational evidence designs. Nationwide data adds generalizability.
When this study was published
Published in 2025; data 2012-2022.
The bigger picture
Target trial emulation provides stronger causal evidence than typical observational studies. This Danish nationwide confirmation of LEADER adds to the global evidence base supporting GLP-1RA cardiovascular benefits.
Questions still open
- Why were MI and stroke not significant individually while composite MACE was?
- Do specific GLP-1RAs differ in real-world CV effectiveness?
- Should the LEADER criteria define the GLP-1RA-eligible population?
Common questions
Do GLP-1 drugs really prevent heart attacks and death?
How is this different from a clinical trial?
Read the original research
Real-world cardiovascular effectiveness of sustained glucagon-like peptide 1 GLP-1 receptor agonist usage in type 2 diabetes.
Cardiovascular diabetology, 24(1), 385
Citation
Sørensen, Kathrine Kold; Yazdanfard, Puriya Daniel Würtz; Zareini, Bochra; Pedersen-Bjergaard, Ulrik; Kosjerina, Vanja; Andersen, Mikkel Porsborg; Munch, Anders; Ohlendorff, Johan Sebastian; Schmid, Stefanie; Lanzinger, Stefanie; Choudhary, Pratik; Gillies, Clare; Gharibzadeh, Safoora; Lind, Marcus; Tasselius, Viktor; Michelsen, Jens; Gerds, Thomas Alexander; Torp-Pedersen, Christian. (2025). Real-world cardiovascular effectiveness of sustained glucagon-like peptide 1 GLP-1 receptor agonist usage in type 2 diabetes.. Cardiovascular diabetology, 24(1), 385. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-025-02915-1