Bayesian NMA of 19 RCTs (29,506 adults) shows retatrutide and dual agonists achieve equivalent mean weight loss (~11 kg) surpassing GLP-1RAs (~9 kg), but retatrutide has the highest ≥15% weight loss odds (OR 54.6) and the highest adverse event risk.
OR 54.6 for ≥15% weight lossRetatrutide (triple GLP-1/GIP/glucagon agonist) achieves extreme weight loss targets 54.6x more than placebo—far exceeding single and dual agonists
What the researchers found
Mean weight loss: retatrutide ~11 kg, dual agonists ~11 kg, GLP-1RAs ~9 kg. ≥15% weight loss OR: retatrutide 54.6, dual 16.4, GLP-1RA 9.0. T2DM reduced loss by 4-5 kg. Retatrutide: highest AE risk. Female/high-BMI: better outcomes.
Why it matters
This is the first comprehensive NMA comparing all incretin-based weight loss drug classes. It establishes the efficacy hierarchy and identifies which patients respond best to each class.
How the study worked
Systematic review and Bayesian NMA of 19 RCTs (29,506 adults, BMI ≥25). Agents: liraglutide, semaglutide, survodutide, tirzepatide, retatrutide vs placebo. Outcomes at ≥36 weeks. Subgroup analyses by diabetes, sex, age, BMI.
What this study cannot tell us
Bayesian NMA has inherent assumptions. Retatrutide data limited (fewer trials). Head-to-head comparisons sparse. Different trial durations and populations.
How to read the evidence
Bayesian NMA of 19 RCTs with 29,506 participants. High-quality evidence synthesis. Retatrutide evidence still limited compared to established agents.
When this study was published
Published in 2025.
The bigger picture
The obesity drug landscape now has three tiers of incretin-based therapy: single, dual, and triple agonists. This hierarchy enables personalized selection—more potent agents for patients needing extreme weight loss, balanced options for those prioritizing tolerability.
Questions still open
- When will retatrutide receive regulatory approval?
- Can retatrutide's higher AE risk be managed with dose optimization?
- Will quadruple agonists emerge as the next tier?
Common questions
What is retatrutide and how is it different?
Which weight loss drug should I choose?
Read the original research
Efficacy and Safety of GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, Dual Agonists, and Retatrutide for Weight Loss in Adults With Overweight or Obesity: A Bayesian NMA.
Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.), 33(11), 2046-2054
Citation
Sinha, Binayak; Ghosal, Samit. (2025). Efficacy and Safety of GLP-1 Receptor Agonists, Dual Agonists, and Retatrutide for Weight Loss in Adults With Overweight or Obesity: A Bayesian NMA.. Obesity (Silver Spring, Md.), 33(11), 2046-2054. https://doi.org/10.1002/oby.24360